Weather Forecast

Weekend Forecast for 4/19/2014 – 4/20/2014:

From Dan Tackett, Sugar Bowl National Ski Patrol Meteorologist Extraordinaire

Updated Thursday, April 17th, 10:25 am

Greetings,

Discussion:
Spring conditions have been with us for most of April and they’ll continue right through closing day.  Although the Eastern Pacific is relatively active, all weather systems have been trekking into the Pacific Northwest.  On Thursday morning, widespread precipitation is falling in Western Washington and Northwest Oregon from a Pacific cold front.  That front will make its way through Sugar Bowl in the early morning hours of Friday, but by then, most of its energy will be thoroughly weakened.  A few brief light rain showers may crop up around dawn, along with a couple of wet snowflakes on the higher slopes.  Scattered rain showers may re-appear in the afternoon during maximum instability, but much of that will be to our south. Mostly, the day will have scattered clouds and cooler conditions, mostly in the 40s.

Mostly sunny conditions return on Saturday morning.  With a little leftover moisture hanging around, a few clouds may build up in the afternoon.  High temperatures quickly recover into the 50s.

Conditions for the last hurrah on Easter Sunday will be mostly sunny, warm and spring-like.  Highs in the 50s to near 60.  The warm days of April have quickly melted the snows that accumulated at the end of March, watch for those thin spots.

Ironically, the weather pattern begins to take a turn on Monday.  A stronger weather system than any we’ve seen of late will approach and increase the clouds.  Snow is expected Monday night and Tuesday with light accumulations.  Temperatures will drop way off from the long stretch of above normal we’ve been experiencing.  Storms this time of year usually don’t add much to the snowpack, but they help reduce the rate of melt.

This will be my final forecast of the 2013/2014 season and hopefully I’ll begin next season in November with good news.  It was tough being the messenger when winter kept on sputtering.  However, the long repeated stretches of benign weather made for easy forecasting.  Next season, I’m looking forward to a winter of complicated forecasts.

Sugar Bowl Snow Depths as of Thursday morning, April 17th:
Station A (near the base of Crow’s Nest Chair): 3 inches, down 7 inches since the previous Thursday.  Last year at this time: 2 inches.
Station B (between Calif St & Station B runs): 77 inches, down 17 inches since the previous Thursday.  Last year at this time: 91 inches.
Current Truckee River Drainage Snowpack Water Equivalent:  26%

Weekend Forecast for 4/19/2014-4/20/2014:
Mostly sunny on Saturday morning, a few clouds in the afternoon.  Lows in the 30s, highs in the 50s.  Light southwesterly winds.

Mostly sunny on Sunday.  Lows in the 30s to near 40, highs in the 50s to near 60.  Light winds.

Weekend Travel Weather:
Other than a couple of rain showers wetting the roads on Friday afternoon, the rest of the weekend will be dry and clear.

Extended:
Much cooler with snow Monday night and Tuesday with light accumulations.

Have a Great Weekend and a Great Summer,
Dan

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